C.D. Zarza vs Nerva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
CDZ
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDZ
2 - 2
HER
28%
23%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDZ
0 - 1
VIL
9%
15%
76%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 0
CDZ
43%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CDZ
2 - 2
TRB
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NER
2 - 3
SAN
53%
21%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDR
5 - 2
NER
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NER
1 - 2
THA
33%
22%
46%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NER
0 - 2
CDR
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
NER
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |