Universidad de Valladolid vs CD San Agustin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad de Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 2
UVA
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
UVA
3 - 1
BOE
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PED
1 - 0
UVA
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UVA
7 - 0
MIG
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
UVA
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Agustin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 2
VIA
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
BEL
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BOE
2 - 1
AGU
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
5 - 1
PED
57%
20%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MIG
1 - 8
AGU
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |