C.D. Rubias vs Nerva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Rubias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDR
1 - 1
RIO
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CDH
0 - 1
CDR
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CDR
3 - 2
UDA
26%
23%
51%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDR
1 - 3
REP
11%
19%
70%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 3
CDR
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDH
0 - 2
NER
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 3
NER
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NER
4 - 3
CDC
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDE
4 - 1
NER
79%
14%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NER
1 - 0
ATL
18%
23%
59%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |