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Oberliga. Baja Sajonia, Matchday 18

BW Lohne TB Uphusen
16 ELO 4
140% Tilt 143%
5734º General ELO ranking 9340º
137º Country ELO ranking 352º
ELO win probability
58.8%
BW Lohne
15.5%
Draw
25.6%
TB Uphusen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
BW Lohne
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
11-1
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
0.1%
11-3
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
0.1%
10-5
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.7%
8-4
0.2%
9-5
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
3.4%
6-3
1.5%
7-4
0.4%
8-5
0.1%
9-6
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
4.9%
5-3
2.7%
6-4
0.9%
7-5
0.2%
8-6
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
3.9%
5-4
1.6%
6-5
0.4%
7-6
0.1%
8-7
<0%
+1
16.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
0.3%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
4.5%
4-4
2.3%
5-5
0.8%
6-6
0.2%
7-7
<0%
0
15.5%
25.6%
Win probability
TB Uphusen
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
2.7%
4-5
1.1%
5-6
0.3%
6-7
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
1.3%
4-6
0.4%
5-7
0.1%
6-8
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
3-9
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BW Lohne
+113%
+21%
TB Uphusen

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
BW Lohne
20
39
23%
Spelle-Venhaus
18
39
24%
Ramlingen / Ehlershausen
17
34
14%
Germania Egestorf
17
30
10%
Lupo-Martini
16
32
13%
Heeslinger SC
14
37
6%
BSV Kickers Emden
13
28
7%
MTV Gifhorn
13
26
7%
SVG Göttingen
12
26
11º
7%
Schwalbe Tundern
10º
12
25
12º
6%
VfL Oldenburg
11º
11
26
10º
7%
Wolfenbüttel
12º
10
21
14º
7%
TB Uphusen
13º
10
22
13º
7%
Arminia Hannover
14º
8
27
6%
Eintracht Northeim
15º
8
16
16º
8%
Rotenburger SV
16º
6
14
18º
8%
Hagen/Uthlede
17º
5
12
19º
12%
TuS Bersenbrück
18º
4
14
17º
10%
FT Braunschweig
19º
4
10
20º
14%
MTV Eintracht Celle
20º
4
20
15º
13%
Expected probabilities
BW Lohne
TB Uphusen
Champion
23% 1%
Promotion playoffs
65% 8%
Relegation playoffs
10% 28%
Mid-table
2% 63%

ELO progression

TB Uphusen
TBU
BW Lohne
BWL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BW Lohne
BW Lohne
1%
X%
2%
ELO BWL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2020
TBU
TB Uphusen
0 - 0
BW Lohne
BWL
42%
27%
31%
227 73 -154 0
25 Oct. 2020
BWL
BW Lohne
2 - 0
BSV Kickers Emden
BSV
47%
27%
26%
226 180 46 +1

Matches

TB Uphusen
TB Uphusen
1%
X%
2%
ELO TBU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2020
TBU
TB Uphusen
0 - 0
BW Lohne
BWL
42%
27%
31%
73 227 -154 0