FC BW Friesdorf vs Konigsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
58.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
15º
14º
31
7º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BFR
5 - 2
BWF
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BWF
1 - 0
SIE
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PES
6 - 0
BWF
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BGP
1 - 2
BWF
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BWF
0 - 0
SCF
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Konigsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KON
1 - 0
BGP
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 2
KON
39%
21%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
KON
0 - 2
BER
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VFL
3 - 1
KON
11%
16%
74%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
KON
2 - 2
SPF
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |