Bustese Milano City FC vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustese Milano City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BUS
2 - 1
LEV
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NIB
3 - 1
BUS
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BUS
1 - 1
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
1 - 1
BUS
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BUS
0 - 2
TRI
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAS
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 4
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
TRI
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAR
84%
12%
5%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAL
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |