Busan I Park vs Seoul E-Land FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
12º
5º
25
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 65 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 60 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 59 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 54 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 53 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 52 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 50 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 46 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 45 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 44 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 44 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 36 |
12º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 4% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 7% |
|
Next round
|
35% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 55.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SUW
5 - 2
BUS
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
BUS
2 - 1
SUW
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BUS
1 - 1
CHE
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDR
3 - 0
BUS
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BUS
2 - 1
BUC
52%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Seoul E-Land FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
ELA
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ELA
0 - 2
SEO
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 0
ELA
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ELA
1 - 3
GYE
34%
26%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 0
ELA
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |