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K-League Challenge. Matchday 20

Busan I Park Jeonnam Dragons
27 ELO 32
-5% Tilt 35%
4829º General ELO ranking 4071º
27º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
32%
Busan I Park
26.2%
Draw
41.8%
Jeonnam Dragons

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
Busan I Park
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.8%
Win probability
Jeonnam Dragons
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Busan I Park
+30%
-18%
Jeonnam Dragons

Basic stats

0
1
GF
1
0
GC
27
32
ELO
1.2
1.4
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Busan I Park
Their league position
Jeonnam Dragons
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
37
60
16%
Jeonnam Dragons
37
55
15%
FC Anyang
36
60
14%
Daejeon Citizen
34
54
13%
Busan I Park
31
54
12%
Ansan Greeners
28
45
12%
Chungnam Asan FC
26
45
12%
Gyeongnam FC
26
46
13%
Seoul E-Land FC
24
43
14%
Bucheon FC 1995
10º
17
29
10º
55%
Expected probabilities
Busan I Park
Jeonnam Dragons
Champion
12% 15%
Promotion playoffs
36% 42%
Mid-table
52% 44%

ELO progression

Busan I Park
BUS
Jeonnam Dragons
CDR
Chungnam Asan FC
KOR
Ansan Greeners
ANG
Gyeongnam FC
GYE
Bucheon FC 1995
BUC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Busan I Park
Busan I Park
1%
X%
2%
ELO BUS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jul. 2021
BUC
Bucheon FC 1995
0 - 0
Busan I Park
BUS
45%
27%
28%
344 341 -3 0
27 Jun. 2021
ELA
Seoul E-Land FC
0 - 1
Busan I Park
BUS
47%
27%
26%
342 357 15 +2
20 Jun. 2021
BUS
Busan I Park
4 - 5
FC Anyang
FCA
46%
27%
27%
344 364 -20 -2
13 Jun. 2021
ANG
Ansan Greeners
2 - 3
Busan I Park
BUS
46%
27%
28%
342 301 -41 +2
05 Jun. 2021
BUS
Busan I Park
2 - 3
Gyeongnam FC
GYE
42%
27%
31%
344 517 -173 -2

Matches

Jeonnam Dragons
Jeonnam Dragons
1%
X%
2%
ELO CDR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jul. 2021
CDR
Jeonnam Dragons
0 - 0
Gyeongnam FC
GYE
41%
28%
31%
418 514 -96 0
28 Jun. 2021
FCA
FC Anyang
0 - 0
Jeonnam Dragons
CDR
46%
27%
28%
418 366 -52 0
20 Jun. 2021
KOR
Chungnam Asan FC
0 - 1
Jeonnam Dragons
CDR
45%
27%
28%
416 413 -3 +2
13 Jun. 2021
CDR
Jeonnam Dragons
0 - 2
Bucheon FC 1995
BUC
47%
27%
26%
419 338 81 -3
05 Jun. 2021
CDR
Jeonnam Dragons
3 - 0
Seoul E-Land FC
ELA
47%
27%
26%
416 363 53 +3