Bury vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 2
BCF
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
BCF
1 - 1
CRE
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 0
BCF
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
BCF
1 - 3
HUR
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
BCF
2 - 3
SUN
16%
22%
63%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
RUS
2 - 2
WAL
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 2
WBA
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
WAL
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
RFC
3 - 2
WAL
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 0
ASV
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |