Bury vs Squires Gate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BCF
2 - 0
WID
88%
10%
3%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
BCF
0 - 2
PRH
92%
7%
2%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BCF
2 - 1
CON
92%
7%
2%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
BCF
1 - 0
HAL
90%
8%
3%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 0
BCF
4%
10%
86%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Squires Gate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SQU
0 - 2
PAD
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LIT
0 - 2
SQU
15%
18%
68%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SQU
3 - 3
IRL
62%
19%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SQU
1 - 2
NOR
44%
22%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
SQU
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |