Bury vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 1
RAM
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BCF
3 - 0
ALI
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PRH
1 - 2
BCF
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BCF
1 - 1
WYA
73%
15%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 2
CHA
78%
14%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 0
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 2
CHA
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
5 - 1
WES
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
7 - 0
SKE
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
PAD
54%
20%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |