Bury vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
BCF
2 - 1
BRA
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BOU
1 - 2
BCF
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
GRI
1 - 1
BCF
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
STA
2 - 4
BCF
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
DAG
3 - 1
BCF
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
CRE
37%
27%
37%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
GUL
1 - 0
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
HER
1 - 4
MKD
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 1
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
NOT
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |