Bury vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
YEO
2 - 1
BCF
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 1
CUM
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
BCF
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 1
BCF
50%
22%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BCF
0 - 1
SWI
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 1
CRA
24%
28%
49%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
LEY
1 - 0
HAR
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 1
DON
29%
27%
45%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 0
BRA
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CRE
2 - 1
HAR
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |