Bury vs Avro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
11%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BCF
2 - 0
CLI
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
1 - 1
BCF
14%
20%
67%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
BCF
6%
15%
80%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
BCF
5 - 3
LAN
84%
12%
5%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 1
BCF
6%
15%
79%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Avro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PRH
1 - 0
AFC
22%
21%
58%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
WYT
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
CHA
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 3
AFC
20%
20%
61%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
CON
56%
21%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |