Bury vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1927 |
WBA
3 - 1
BCF
55%
22%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1927 |
HUR
3 - 1
BCF
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1927 |
SHW
1 - 3
BCF
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1926 |
BCF
2 - 0
SHW
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1926 |
DER
2 - 0
BCF
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1927 |
ASV
0 - 0
CAR
59%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1927 |
ASV
4 - 3
BBU
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1927 |
BUR
6 - 3
ASV
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1927 |
ASV
1 - 2
NEW
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1926 |
ASV
5 - 1
LEE
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |