Non League Div One Isthmian North. Jor. 20

Bury Town vs Lowestoft Town analysis

Bury Town Lowestoft Town
25 ELO 30
-4.2% Tilt -11.4%
6157º General ELO ranking 6022º
298º Country ELO ranking 289º
ELO win probability
30.2%
Bury Town
22.4%
Draw
47.4%
Lowestoft Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
Bury Town
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
47.4%
Win probability
Lowestoft Town
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bury Town
+90%
-5%
Lowestoft Town

Points and table prediction

Bury Town
Their league position
Lowestoft Town
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
11º
11º
74
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hashtag United
97
98
100%
AFC Sudbury
91
91
100%
Lowestoft Town
74
77
100%
Grays Athletic
69
72
100%
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
69
69
100%
Heybridge Swifts
66
69
100%
Stowmarket Town
63
66
100%
Brentwood Town
52
55
100%
New Salamis
55
55
100%
Wroxham
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Bury Town
11º
50
50
11º
100%
East Thurrock United FC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Gorleston
13º
41
44
13º
100%
Basildon United
15º
39
40
14º
100%
Maldon & Tiptree
14º
39
39
15º
100%
Witham Town
16º
32
35
16º
100%
Great Wakering Rovers
17º
27
30
17º
100%
Coggeshall Town
19º
25
28
18º
100%
Tilbury
18º
27
27
19º
100%
Hullbridge Sports
20º
19
22
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bury Town
Lowestoft Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bury Town
Lowestoft Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bury Town
Bury Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2022
YEL
AFC Sudbury
2 - 1
Bury Town
BUR
78%
14%
8%
25 39 14 0
20 Dec. 2022
BUR
Bury Town
1 - 0
Heybridge Swifts
HEY
20%
22%
58%
23 36 13 +2
06 Dec. 2022
BRE
Brentwood Town
0 - 0
Bury Town
BUR
58%
21%
21%
23 26 3 0
03 Dec. 2022
GRA
Grays Athletic
1 - 0
Bury Town
BUR
63%
19%
18%
24 28 4 -1
26 Nov. 2022
BUR
Bury Town
0 - 1
Stowmarket Town
STO
24%
21%
55%
24 34 10 0

Matches

Lowestoft Town
Lowestoft Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2022
LOW
Lowestoft Town
5 - 2
Gorleston
GOR
81%
13%
7%
30 16 14 0
03 Dec. 2022
LOW
Lowestoft Town
1 - 1
Heybridge Swifts
HEY
24%
23%
53%
29 39 10 +1
26 Nov. 2022
EAS
East Thurrock United FC
1 - 0
Lowestoft Town
LOW
30%
22%
48%
30 24 6 -1
19 Nov. 2022
LOW
Lowestoft Town
0 - 2
AFC Sudbury
YEL
30%
23%
47%
32 38 6 -2
12 Nov. 2022
NSA
New Salamis
2 - 1
Lowestoft Town
LOW
58%
19%
24%
32 35 3 0
X