Bury Town vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 2
YEL
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NSA
1 - 1
BUR
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 0
NEW
57%
21%
23%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
WRO
0 - 0
BUR
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 0
HTG
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 2
YEL
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
YEL
5 - 2
GOR
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
STO
2 - 3
YEL
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
YEL
1 - 1
STO
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
YEL
1 - 0
WHI
77%
15%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |