Burton Swifts vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1893 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1892 |
BUR
0 - 2
DAR
34%
23%
43%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1892 |
BUR
4 - 2
LIN
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1892 |
GRI
4 - 0
BUR
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1892 |
MAC
1 - 1
BUR
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1893 |
WAL
3 - 3
CRE
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1893 |
SHE
3 - 0
WAL
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1892 |
POR
3 - 0
WAL
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1892 |
WAL
4 - 4
BOO
56%
22%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1892 |
BIR
12 - 0
WAL
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |