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Championship. Matchday 22

Burton Swifts vs Darwen FC analysis

Burton Swifts Darwen FC
58 ELO 58
145% Tilt 6%
22215º General ELO ranking 13103º
959º Country ELO ranking 800º
ELO win probability
81.4%
Burton Swifts
11%
Draw
7.6%
Darwen FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
Burton Swifts
3.34
Expected goals
11-0
<0%
+11
<0%
10-0
0.1%
11-1
<0%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.6%
Win probability
Darwen FC
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Burton Swifts
+106%
+138%
Darwen FC

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Birmingham City
53
53
100%
Sheffield United
51
51
100%
Darwen FC
44
44
100%
Grimsby Town
34
34
100%
Man. City
30
30
100%
Burton Swifts
29
29
50%
Northwich Victoria
29
29
50%
Bootle FC
27
27
100%
Lincoln City
24
24
100%
Crewe Alexandra
10º
21
21
10º
50%
Port Vale
11º
21
21
11º
50%
Walsall
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Burton Swifts
Darwen FC
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Darwen FC
DAR
Burton Swifts
BUR
Bootle FC
THE
Lincoln City
LIN
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Northwich Victoria
NOR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burton Swifts
Burton Swifts
1%
X%
2%
ELO BUR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 1892
BUR
Burton Swifts
4 - 2
Lincoln City
LIN
47%
27%
26%
1264 1239 25 +9
03 Dec. 1892
GRI
Grimsby Town
4 - 0
Burton Swifts
BUR
46%
27%
26%
1275 1258 -17 -11
26 Nov. 1892
MAC
Man. City
1 - 1
Burton Swifts
BUR
47%
27%
26%
1275 1288 13 0
12 Nov. 1892
BIR
Birmingham City
3 - 2
Burton Swifts
BUR
47%
27%
26%
1280 1295 15 -6
05 Nov. 1892
BUR
Burton Swifts
2 - 0
Northwich Victoria
NOR
49%
26%
25%
1272 1241 31 +9

Matches

Darwen FC
Darwen FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO DAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 1892
MAC
Man. City
4 - 2
Darwen FC
DAR
46%
27%
26%
1297 1288 -9 -9
10 Dec. 1892
DAR
Darwen FC
4 - 3
Birmingham City
BIR
46%
27%
26%
1291 1300 -9 +6
03 Dec. 1892
DAR
Darwen FC
7 - 3
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
49%
26%
25%
1280 1232 48 +11
19 Nov. 1892
DAR
Darwen FC
3 - 1
Sheffield United
SHE
47%
27%
26%
1272 1266 6 +9
12 Nov. 1892
LIN
Lincoln City
1 - 1
Darwen FC
DAR
47%
27%
26%
1272 1233 -39 0