Burton Albion vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MIC
3 - 0
BUR
12%
18%
70%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 1
NTT
17%
24%
58%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
STR
1 - 2
BUR
11%
18%
71%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
HIB
4 - 2
BUR
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 2
WYC
26%
26%
49%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 2
BIR
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
BIR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BIR
1 - 2
BBU
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
BIR
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 2
MIL
26%
28%
47%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |