Burscough vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burscough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
KIN
0 - 0
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
KID
3 - 1
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 2
HYD
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
RED
1 - 2
BUR
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
HIN
1 - 2
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SOU
5 - 3
GAI
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ALT
1 - 4
SOU
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
AFC
1 - 0
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SOL
0 - 2
SOU
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 1
VAU
75%
16%
10%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |