Burscough vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burscough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
6 - 1
CLI
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
PRE
0 - 3
BUR
14%
20%
67%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 1
NOR
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
BUR
11%
18%
72%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
3 - 1
BUR
61%
20%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
MOS
2 - 3
NOR
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MOS
2 - 0
LAN
34%
24%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GLO
5 - 1
MOS
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MOS
5 - 3
HAR
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 2
MOS
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |