Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-7
Bursaspor vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bursaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
ANT
2 - 1
BUR
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
BUR
0 - 1
KOC
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
RIZ
1 - 1
BUR
45%
32%
23%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
BUR
0 - 4
ALT
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
BJK
2 - 1
BUR
76%
15%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
AJA
0 - 0
GRO
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
SPA
2 - 6
AJA
28%
23%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
12%
21%
68%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
66%
18%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
AJA
2 - 3
ADO
94%
4%
1%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |