Burnley vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
LIV
2 - 0
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
LEI
5 - 1
BUR
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
BUR
2 - 3
MAC
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
BUR
5 - 0
LAU
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1966 |
LAU
1 - 3
BUR
33%
24%
44%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
SOU
3 - 2
STO
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
LEE
0 - 1
SOU
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
SOU
1 - 3
EVE
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
STO
3 - 2
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
SOU
2 - 3
SHE
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |