EFL Cup . 1/16

Burnley vs Leeds United analysis

Burnley Leeds United
80 ELO 72
-11.2% Tilt -3.7%
122º General ELO ranking 127º
18º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
53%
Burnley
25.3%
Draw
21.6%
Leeds United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
Burnley
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.7%
Win probability
Leeds United
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO progression

Burnley
Leeds United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burnley
Burnley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2017
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 1
Burnley
BUR
74%
17%
9%
80 88 8 0
10 Sep. 2017
BUR
Burnley
1 - 0
Crystal Palace
CRY
40%
27%
33%
80 81 1 0
27 Aug. 2017
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 1
Burnley
BUR
78%
15%
7%
80 89 9 0
23 Aug. 2017
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
0 - 2
Burnley
BUR
26%
25%
49%
79 66 13 +1
19 Aug. 2017
BUR
Burnley
0 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
47%
27%
26%
80 79 1 -1

Matches

Leeds United
Leeds United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2017
MIL
Millwall
1 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
32%
27%
41%
72 65 7 0
12 Sep. 2017
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
68%
21%
11%
72 58 14 0
09 Sep. 2017
LEE
Leeds United
5 - 0
Burton Albion
BUR
61%
23%
16%
71 61 10 +1
26 Aug. 2017
NTT
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
38%
26%
36%
71 64 7 0
22 Aug. 2017
LEE
Leeds United
5 - 1
Newport County
NEW
71%
19%
9%
71 52 19 0
X