FA Cup . 1/16
Global 2-1
Burnley vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
BUR
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
IPS
0 - 0
BUR
19%
25%
56%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 1
WBA
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 0
COV
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 4
BUR
39%
26%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
IPS
14%
24%
62%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
IPS
0 - 0
BUR
19%
25%
56%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
IPS
4 - 0
MOR
65%
22%
14%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
OXF
2 - 1
IPS
34%
27%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
IPS
1 - 1
PLY
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |