Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 2
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 0
WOL
31%
29%
40%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 0
SOU
24%
24%
51%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
WHU
1 - 1
BUR
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 0
BUR
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
NOR
62%
21%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LEI
0 - 0
ASV
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 4
TOT
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
WOL
2 - 1
ASV
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 1
ARS
26%
24%
51%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |