Burnley vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
EVE
3 - 1
BUR
61%
22%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEE
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 0
BUR
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 0
BUR
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 2
BHA
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
WBA
0 - 6
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 2
CHL
30%
24%
45%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARS
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |