Burnley vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEI
20%
24%
57%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TOT
4 - 0
BUR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
WBA
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
FUL
58%
25%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CRY
0 - 3
BUR
42%
27%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 3
ARS
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 2
SLB
52%
23%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 1
MAC
19%
21%
60%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
ARS
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
4 - 2
LEE
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |