Burnham vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CAM
7 - 2
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 0
HIT
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BUR
3 - 1
BED
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 2
BUR
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BUR
1 - 0
HUN
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 4
STO
8%
16%
76%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 3
COR
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FRO
1 - 2
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
WHI
5 - 0
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
STA
2 - 0
BAS
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |