Burgos vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
13.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
VIL
0 - 0
BUR
32%
30%
37%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
BUR
1 - 1
MLL
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
RAY
1 - 2
BUR
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
BUR
2 - 1
RCF
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
RAC
1 - 0
BUR
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
LOG
0 - 1
OVI
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
OVI
0 - 0
VIL
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
ATM
4 - 0
OVI
89%
8%
3%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
OVI
0 - 0
ATM
15%
26%
59%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
MLL
1 - 0
OVI
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |