Burgos vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
BUR
3 - 1
XER
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
RAC
0 - 2
BUR
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 0
EXT
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
OVI
2 - 0
BUR
82%
14%
5%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 0
GIM
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
RJA
0 - 0
RAC
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
EXT
5 - 0
RJA
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
RJA
1 - 3
OVI
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
GIM
0 - 2
RJA
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
RJA
3 - 1
POL
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |