Burgos vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
SEV
6 - 1
BUR
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
BUR
3 - 0
VDB
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 31 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAL
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
ZAR
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 2
SGD
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 3
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
HER
2 - 3
ATM
30%
28%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 2
ATM
28%
28%
45%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 0
REC
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |