Burgos vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
26.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 0
BUR
49%
27%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 0
HAR
71%
21%
9%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 2
BUR
35%
30%
35%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
CDG
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SES
1 - 0
BUR
33%
31%
36%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ATH
1 - 2
CUL
42%
27%
30%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ATH
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ATH
0 - 1
LOG
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
HAR
0 - 2
ATH
15%
25%
61%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ATH
2 - 1
ALF
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |