Burgan vs Al Yarmouk analysis


45	ELO	53
11.9%	Tilt	-3.8%
5585º	General ELO ranking	5066º
15º	Country ELO ranking	14º
ELO win probability

35.5%

Burgan

23.8%

Draw

40.7%

Al Yarmouk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

35.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%

23.8%

Draw

0-0

4.5%

1-1

10.8%

2-2

6.5%

3-3

1.7%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

23.8%

40.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-13%

-49%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

12

2º

4º

33

1º

3º

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

1º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	33	33	1º	100%
2º	26	26	2º	100%
3º	25	25	3º	100%
4º	12	12	4º	100%
5º	8	8	5º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	100%
Mid-table	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burgan

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
04 Oct. 2023	ALS 0 - 2 BUR 24% 24% 52%	45	32	13	0
28 Sep. 2023	BUR 2 - 3 ALT 32% 23% 46%	46	52	6	-1
01 Sep. 2023	BUR 2 - 2 ALS 29% 25% 46%	45	57	12	+1
11 May. 2023	ALS 1 - 3 BUR 28% 25% 47%	44	35	9	+1
26 Apr. 2023	YAR 1 - 0 BUR 67% 19% 15%	45	51	6	-1

Matches

Al Yarmouk

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Oct. 2023	ALT 1 - 1 YAR 53% 23% 24%	52	52	0	0
04 Oct. 2023	YAR 2 - 1 ALS 36% 26% 38%	51	57	6	+1
29 Sep. 2023	ALS 0 - 2 YAR 12% 20% 68%	51	34	17	0
04 May. 2023	KHA 1 - 0 YAR 45% 25% 30%	51	51	0	0
26 Apr. 2023	YAR 1 - 0 BUR 67% 19% 15%	51	45	6	0