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Malawi League. Matchday 28

Big Bullets vs Dwangwa United analysis

Big Bullets Dwangwa United
14 ELO 9
61% Tilt -9%
8863º General ELO ranking 25225º
Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
68.3%
Big Bullets
18.3%
Draw
13.5%
Dwangwa United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
Big Bullets
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.5%
Win probability
Dwangwa United
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Big Bullets
+22%
-14%
Dwangwa United

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kamuzu Barracks
61
61
100%
Big Bullets
60
60
100%
Silver Strikers
56
56
100%
Blue Eagles
54
54
100%
MAFCO
50
50
100%
Be Forward Wanderers
49
49
100%
Moyale Barracks
47
47
100%
Azam Tigers
43
43
100%
Mzuni FC
41
41
100%
Red Lions
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Civil Sporting
11º
34
34
11º
100%
Dwangwa United
12º
30
30
12º
50%
Wizards
13º
30
30
13º
50%
Karonga United
14º
27
27
14º
100%
CIVO United
15º
25
25
15º
100%
Max Bullets
16º
8
8
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Big Bullets
Dwangwa United
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Big Bullets
BUL
Dwangwa United
DWA
CIVO United
CIV
Blue Eagles
BLU
Max Bullets
BUL
MAFCO
MAF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Big Bullets
Big Bullets
1%
X%
2%
ELO BUL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2016
EPA
Civil Sporting
0 - 1
Big Bullets
BUL
41%
28%
31%
198 125 -73 +1
27 Nov. 2016
BUL
Big Bullets
2 - 0
MAFCO
MAF
47%
27%
26%
197 150 47 +1
12 Nov. 2016
BUL
Big Bullets
4 - 3
Karonga United
KUN
46%
27%
26%
197 121 76 +1
30 Oct. 2016
SIL
Silver Strikers
0 - 0
Big Bullets
BUL
46%
27%
27%
197 194 -3 0
23 Oct. 2016
AZT
Azam Tigers
0 - 0
Big Bullets
BUL
41%
28%
31%
197 143 -54 0

Matches

Dwangwa United
Dwangwa United
1%
X%
2%
ELO DWA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2016
DWA
Dwangwa United
2 - 0
Wizards
CHI
44%
27%
29%
145 141 4 +1
27 Nov. 2016
MOY
Moyale Barracks
0 - 0
Dwangwa United
DWA
44%
27%
29%
145 166 21 0
20 Nov. 2016
MZU
Mzuni FC
1 - 3
Dwangwa United
DWA
46%
27%
28%
144 120 -24 +1
13 Nov. 2016
DWA
Dwangwa United
2 - 2
MAFCO
MAF
46%
27%
27%
144 150 -6 0
09 Nov. 2016
BLU
Blue Eagles
2 - 1
Dwangwa United
DWA
44%
27%
29%
145 167 22 -1