BUL FC vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BUL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
GAD
2 - 1
BUL
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 0
JIN
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
VIP
2 - 3
BUL
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 1
NEC
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
EXP
1 - 1
BUL
39%
28%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 1
WAK
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
URA
3 - 0
MCF
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 0
KIT
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
UPD
1 - 1
MCF
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MCF
2 - 1
KCC
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |