Bufala vs Dosrius 2010 A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.7%
16.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 1
BUF
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BUF
3 - 0
CAB
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
BUF
20%
18%
62%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BUF
2 - 0
LLO
62%
18%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VBM
3 - 5
BUF
8%
13%
79%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dosrius 2010 A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DOS
0 - 3
LLO
56%
18%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VBM
2 - 4
DOS
12%
13%
74%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DOS
3 - 3
JOV
88%
8%
5%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ACF
2 - 2
DOS
13%
14%
73%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DOS
7 - 2
MAS
88%
8%
5%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |