Buelna vs Rinconeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buelna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PON
4 - 1
BUE
72%
17%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BUE
0 - 3
NOJ
12%
19%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
BUE
0 - 2
NUE
16%
20%
65%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
BUE
61%
21%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
BUE
0 - 4
BAR
11%
20%
69%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rinconeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIN
1 - 1
BAR
21%
24%
56%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 2
RIN
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
RIN
0 - 1
ARE
58%
22%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 0
RIN
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RIN
1 - 0
ATL
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |