Buelna vs Barquereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buelna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ARE
2 - 4
BUE
31%
24%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BUE
2 - 0
CAY
64%
20%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
BUE
43%
25%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BUE
1 - 2
TRO
12%
20%
68%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 0
BUE
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barquereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
AYR
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NMO
2 - 1
BAR
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
GIM
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 5
RAY
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
RAC
4 - 0
BAR
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |