Budućnost vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
BER
1 - 3
BUD
39%
28%
32%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
BUD
4 - 2
ZET
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
DEC
0 - 1
BUD
30%
29%
41%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
BUD
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
BUD
0 - 2
POL
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ZET
0 - 3
MOG
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MOG
1 - 3
LOV
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
GRB
2 - 4
MOG
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
MOG
0 - 6
FCK
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
FCK
6 - 0
MOG
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |