Combined Counties League Western League Premier Round 28

Buckland Athletic vs Brixham AFC analysis

Buckland Athletic Brixham AFC
22 ELO 20
5.6% Tilt -2.6%
11353º General ELO ranking 11861º
653º Country ELO ranking 684º
ELO win probability
61.5%
Buckland Athletic
18.5%
Draw
20%
Brixham AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
Buckland Athletic
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
20%
Win probability
Brixham AFC
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Buckland Athletic
+13%
+20%
Brixham AFC

ELO progression

Buckland Athletic
Brixham AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Buckland Athletic
Buckland Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
ILF
Ilfracombe Town
2 - 2
Buckland Athletic
BUC
25%
21%
54%
23 17 6 0
09 Mar. 2024
BUC
Buckland Athletic
3 - 1
Nailsea and Tickenham
NAT
71%
15%
14%
22 16 6 +1
27 Feb. 2024
AFC
Falmouth Town
2 - 0
Buckland Athletic
BUC
53%
21%
26%
24 25 1 -2
24 Feb. 2024
STB
St Blazey
0 - 3
Buckland Athletic
BUC
35%
22%
43%
23 19 4 +1
17 Feb. 2024
WEL
Wellington
1 - 3
Buckland Athletic
BUC
21%
20%
59%
23 16 7 0

Matches

Brixham AFC
Brixham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
NAT
Nailsea and Tickenham
2 - 1
Brixham AFC
BFC
31%
22%
47%
20 16 4 0
01 Apr. 2024
BFC
Brixham AFC
6 - 0
St Blazey
STB
63%
19%
18%
20 16 4 0
23 Mar. 2024
BFC
Brixham AFC
3 - 0
Ilfracombe Town
ILF
56%
20%
24%
19 18 1 +1
16 Mar. 2024
HEA
Helston Athletic
2 - 0
Brixham AFC
BFC
75%
14%
11%
19 29 10 0
09 Mar. 2024
OLD
Oldland Abbotonians
1 - 3
Brixham AFC
BFC
18%
19%
63%
19 11 8 0