Buckie Thistle vs Turriff United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
2.5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
8º
1º
33
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
78.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 2
LIN
17%
19%
64%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LOS
1 - 2
BUC
6%
12%
82%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
HUN
90%
8%
2%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
INV
0 - 4
BUC
20%
20%
60%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 1
BRO
41%
22%
38%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Turriff United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
5 - 1
DEV
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
4 - 0
TUR
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
FOR
21%
20%
60%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ROT
6 - 1
TUR
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 1
BAN
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | +1 |