Buckie Thistle vs Brechin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
THE
1 - 0
BUC
55%
21%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BON
0 - 2
BUC
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
WIG
1 - 7
BUC
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 2
DEV
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
DEV
2 - 2
BUC
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 0
BRE
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 2
BRE
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 2
BRE
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
QOS
1 - 2
BRE
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 5
BRE
35%
25%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |