BTS Neustadt vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
12º
9º
44
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BTN
6 - 0
VAT
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 2
BTN
42%
21%
37%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BTN
1 - 4
SVH
9%
13%
78%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 2
BTN
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BTN
1 - 2
LEH
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
GEE
20%
18%
62%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GEE
1 - 5
WER
7%
13%
80%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GEE
1 - 4
OBE
29%
19%
52%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SVH
5 - 2
GEE
81%
11%
8%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GEE
6 - 1
WOL
65%
17%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |