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Oberliga. Baja Sajonia, Matchday 9

BSV Kickers Emden Spelle-Venhaus
13 ELO 9
51% Tilt 138%
7262º General ELO ranking 8702º
202º Country ELO ranking 254º
ELO win probability
36.3%
BSV Kickers Emden
19.3%
Draw
44.4%
Spelle-Venhaus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
BSV Kickers Emden
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
16.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
4%
4-4
1.3%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
44.4%
Win probability
Spelle-Venhaus
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2.4%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BSV Kickers Emden
+52%
+131%
Spelle-Venhaus

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
BW Lohne
20
40
40%
Spelle-Venhaus
18
39
22%
Ramlingen / Ehlershausen
17
34
15%
Germania Egestorf
17
31
10%
Lupo-Martini
16
30
8%
Heeslinger SC
14
37
6%
BSV Kickers Emden
13
28
7%
MTV Gifhorn
13
26
10º
7%
SVG Göttingen
12
27
9%
Schwalbe Tundern
10º
12
24
12º
7%
VfL Oldenburg
11º
11
25
11º
6%
Wolfenbüttel
12º
10
20
14º
7%
TB Uphusen
13º
10
23
13º
7%
Arminia Hannover
14º
8
28
5%
Eintracht Northeim
15º
8
17
16º
8%
Rotenburger SV
16º
6
14
18º
8%
Hagen/Uthlede
17º
5
12
19º
13%
TuS Bersenbrück
18º
4
14
17º
11%
FT Braunschweig
19º
4
10
20º
14%
MTV Eintracht Celle
20º
4
19
15º
13%
Expected probabilities
BSV Kickers Emden
Spelle-Venhaus
Champion
3% 28%
Promotion playoffs
22% 57%
Relegation playoffs
34% 12%
Mid-table
41% 3%

ELO progression

BSV Kickers Emden
BSV
Spelle-Venhaus
SVE
Rotenburger SV
ROT
TB Uphusen
TBU
VfL Oldenburg
VFL
Heeslinger SC
HEE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BSV Kickers Emden
BSV Kickers Emden
1%
X%
2%
ELO BSV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2020
HEE
Heeslinger SC
4 - 2
BSV Kickers Emden
BSV
46%
27%
28%
179 149 -30 -1
25 Oct. 2020
BWL
BW Lohne
2 - 0
BSV Kickers Emden
BSV
47%
27%
26%
180 226 46 -1
17 Oct. 2020
BSV
BSV Kickers Emden
3 - 0
Hagen/Uthlede
HAU
45%
27%
28%
178 150 28 +1
03 Oct. 2020
BSV
BSV Kickers Emden
3 - 2
MTV Eintracht Celle
MEC
46%
27%
27%
180 198 -18 +1
27 Sep. 2020
TUB
TuS Bersenbrück
3 - 4
BSV Kickers Emden
BSV
44%
27%
29%
194 101 -93 +1

Matches

Spelle-Venhaus
Spelle-Venhaus
1%
X%
2%
ELO SVE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
SVE
Spelle-Venhaus
2 - 1
Rotenburger SV
ROT
47%
27%
26%
132 93 39 +1
16 Oct. 2020
SVE
Spelle-Venhaus
1 - 2
BW Lohne
BWL
44%
27%
29%
133 225 -92 -1
11 Oct. 2020
HAU
Hagen/Uthlede
1 - 2
Spelle-Venhaus
SVE
45%
27%
28%
132 139 7 +1
27 Sep. 2020
MEC
MTV Eintracht Celle
1 - 2
Spelle-Venhaus
SVE
47%
27%
26%
142 215 73 +1
18 Sep. 2020
SVE
Spelle-Venhaus
2 - 0
TuS Bersenbrück
TUB
47%
27%
26%
141 102 39 +1