BSV Kickers Emden vs Germania Egestorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
80
1º
5º
1º
54
3º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 67 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 66 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 48 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
63% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
12º
|
71% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 40 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 24 |
17º
|
69% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 22 |
18º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSV Kickers Emden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BSV
2 - 0
VFL
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BSV
2 - 0
ADF
41%
22%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STE
0 - 4
BSV
32%
21%
47%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BSV
2 - 1
HEE
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LUP
2 - 0
BSV
72%
18%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Germania Egestorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GER
2 - 1
STE
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GER
1 - 1
LUP
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BSV
2 - 1
GER
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GER
4 - 1
SCH
48%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AHA
1 - 5
GER
20%
20%
60%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |