Brusque vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRU
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
VAS
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 0
BRU
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
LON
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
BRU
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
GUA
37%
30%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
VIL
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAM
38%
30%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |