Série B Brazil . Jor. 28

Brusque vs Vasco da Gama analysis

Brusque Vasco da Gama
64 ELO 73
-9.6% Tilt -8.3%
1113º General ELO ranking 200º
41º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
27.9%
Brusque
28.4%
Draw
43.7%
Vasco da Gama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
Brusque
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
43.7%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brusque
+9%
+5%
Vasco da Gama

ELO progression

Brusque
Vasco da Gama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brusque
Brusque
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2022
TOM
Tombense
1 - 0
Brusque
BRU
42%
28%
30%
65 65 0 0
27 Aug. 2022
BRU
Brusque
0 - 1
Londrina
LON
41%
29%
30%
66 68 2 -1
20 Aug. 2022
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 0
Brusque
BRU
41%
28%
31%
66 66 0 0
13 Aug. 2022
BRU
Brusque
2 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
39%
29%
32%
65 68 3 +1
10 Aug. 2022
CSA
CSA
1 - 0
Brusque
BRU
50%
26%
24%
66 70 4 -1

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2022
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
53%
26%
21%
73 66 7 0
28 Aug. 2022
BAH
Bahía
2 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
56%
24%
20%
73 78 5 0
19 Aug. 2022
CSA
CSA
2 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
37%
28%
35%
74 69 5 -1
13 Aug. 2022
VAS
Vasco da Gama
3 - 1
Tombense
TOM
60%
26%
15%
73 65 8 +1
10 Aug. 2022
PPE
Ponte Preta
3 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
31%
29%
40%
74 67 7 -1
X