Série B Brazil . Jor. 15

Brusque vs Bahía analysis

Brusque Bahía
65 ELO 78
-7.3% Tilt -3.9%
1113º General ELO ranking 145º
41º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
24.4%
Brusque
28.8%
Draw
46.8%
Bahía

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
Brusque
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
46.8%
Win probability
Bahía
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brusque
+5%
+1%
Bahía

ELO progression

Brusque
Bahía
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brusque
Brusque
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2022
SPO
Sport Recife
0 - 0
Brusque
BRU
54%
26%
20%
65 73 8 0
18 Jun. 2022
CRI
Criciúma
0 - 1
Brusque
BRU
37%
28%
36%
64 63 1 +1
11 Jun. 2022
BRU
Brusque
0 - 1
Ituano
ITU
40%
29%
32%
65 67 2 -1
08 Jun. 2022
VIL
Vila Nova
0 - 2
Brusque
BRU
41%
29%
30%
64 67 3 +1
05 Jun. 2022
BRU
Brusque
1 - 2
Náutico
NAU
42%
28%
30%
64 65 1 0

Matches

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2022
BAH
Bahía
0 - 1
Novorizontino
NOV
74%
18%
8%
78 59 19 0
23 Jun. 2022
BAH
Bahía
1 - 2
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
34%
28%
38%
78 84 6 0
15 Jun. 2022
BAH
Bahía
0 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
71%
19%
10%
79 66 13 -1
11 Jun. 2022
OPE
Operário PR
0 - 1
Bahía
BAH
31%
28%
41%
78 68 10 +1
09 Jun. 2022
BAH
Bahía
1 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
63%
23%
14%
78 73 5 0
X